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India's economy grows 7.2%, World Bank sees 6.5% next year on tariff headwinds

Strong domestic demand is keeping growth steady despite global trade pressures. The outlook shifts slightly downward in 2026 as US tariffs weigh on exports.

7.2%Current GDP growth
India's economy charging ahead at 7.2%—faster than most! 🚀economictimes.indiatimes
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6.5%Forecast growth next year

India's economy is expanding at 7.2%, outpacing most major economies. The World Bank attributes this strength to robust home demand, which continues to absorb domestic credit and consumption.

The forecaster expects growth to ease to 6.5% next year as external headwinds—specifically US tariffs—begin to bite on India's export-dependent sectors. This moderation is still healthy by global standards.

The slowdown reflects a shift in momentum rather than a collapse. Tariff-driven pressure on international trade is expected to dampen growth, but domestic spending should remain the primary engine.

Why it matters

For DSAs and lenders, stronger growth and job creation typically signal rising borrower capacity and loan demand. More employment means more individuals qualify for credit; stronger business growth expands the SME lending pool. The near-term (2025) outlook remains supportive for loan origination, though DSAs should prepare for tighter margins if tariff-driven slowdown begins hitting their borrower base in 2026.

Connectors and loan agents should watch tariff impacts on their sectors. Manufacturing and export-heavy segments may face pressure; domestic-facing businesses (retail, services, construction) will likely remain stronger. Portfolio quality may diverge by sector, making borrower segmentation and risk management more critical than before.

Sources

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Finsamudra DeskNewsroom · 14 Jan 2026, 12:13 pm IST
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